Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Barcelona vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 1
RSO
92%
6%
2%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
VCF
1 - 1
FCB
19%
22%
59%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
FCB
8%
18%
74%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 2
RMA
60%
20%
20%
|
98 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 4
FCB
8%
17%
75%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ATM
0 - 0
VCF
41%
26%
34%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
VCF
1 - 1
FCB
19%
22%
59%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RAC
2 - 2
VCF
23%
27%
50%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
LEV
0 - 3
VCF
28%
26%
45%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
OSA
1 - 1
VCF
28%
27%
45%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |