Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 8-3
Barcelona vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1922 |
SPO
1 - 1
FCB
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1922 |
FCB
7 - 1
SEV
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1922 |
SEV
0 - 1
FCB
46%
23%
31%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1920 |
ATH
0 - 2
FCB
57%
21%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1920 |
FCB
4 - 4
RUN
89%
8%
3%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1922 |
SPO
1 - 1
FCB
29%
24%
47%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1922 |
ESP
0 - 7
SPO
11%
19%
71%
|
69 | 7 | 62 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1922 |
SPO
6 - 0
ESP
91%
7%
2%
|
69 | 8 | 61 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1921 |
SPO
0 - 1
ATH
33%
24%
43%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1921 |
ATH
2 - 1
SPO
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |