Supercopa Final
Global 5-0
Barcelona vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.1%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.6%
3.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SEV
0 - 2
FCB
11%
17%
72%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
FCB
3 - 2
SAM
95%
4%
1%
|
98 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LIV
4 - 0
FCB
9%
17%
75%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
FCB
4 - 2
LEI
92%
6%
2%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
FCB
3 - 1
CEL
94%
5%
1%
|
98 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SEV
0 - 2
FCB
11%
17%
72%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
RMA
3 - 2
SEV
78%
14%
9%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 2
SEV
22%
24%
54%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
STP
1 - 2
SEV
16%
22%
63%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
M05
0 - 1
SEV
28%
25%
47%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |