Barcelona vs Leganés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.2%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
+5
9.5%
4-0
12%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.4%
2.3%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
VCF
2 - 0
FCB
20%
23%
57%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
IBI
1 - 2
FCB
4%
14%
82%
|
93 | 57 | 36 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FCB
1 - 0
GRA
91%
7%
2%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2020 |
FCB
2 - 3
ATM
71%
17%
12%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
ESP
2 - 2
FCB
11%
19%
70%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ATM
0 - 0
LEG
72%
19%
9%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
CDE
0 - 1
LEG
10%
22%
68%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
LEG
0 - 3
GET
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
MUR
0 - 4
LEG
11%
23%
67%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2020 |
VAD
2 - 2
LEG
51%
27%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |