Barcelona SC vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
DEF
3 - 0
BSC
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 0
BSC
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
PQU
3 - 3
BSC
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
BSC
2 - 1
ALI
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
BSC
4 - 2
VAL
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
BSC
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
DEL
5 - 1
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
TEC
54%
23%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LIG
4 - 0
NAC
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |