Barbadás vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.8%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.3%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
0.5%
3-2
0.1%
+1
2.5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
12.7%
84.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
20.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24.9%
0-3
16%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
18.4%
0-4
9.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.4%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
CAS
69%
19%
12%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 0
MOR
65%
20%
15%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
ATL
31%
28%
41%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
BAR
32%
25%
43%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
ATH
3 - 0
VAD
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VAD
2 - 1
ELC
54%
25%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
OSA
2 - 0
VAD
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VAD
1 - 0
RSO
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
VAD
4 - 1
CEL
36%
27%
38%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |