Bangladesh vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.7%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.4%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.8%
81.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
18.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
20.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24.7%
0-3
14.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
17%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
BGD
0 - 1
PSE
11%
22%
67%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
PSE
5 - 0
BGD
77%
16%
8%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
SDN
3 - 0
BGD
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
BGD
1 - 1
LBN
10%
20%
70%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
AUS
7 - 0
BGD
91%
7%
1%
|
37 | 87 | 50 | -1 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
LBN
0 - 5
AUS
9%
20%
71%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 0
LBN
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 2
KOR
45%
24%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
4 - 0
IDN
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 1
UZB
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |