Baden vs Eschen/Mauren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
36.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FCW
2 - 0
BAD
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BAD
1 - 1
LIN
47%
23%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
TUG
6 - 2
BAD
62%
20%
19%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BAD
0 - 1
WIN
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HON
1 - 4
BAD
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Eschen/Mauren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 3
KOS
52%
23%
26%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
TRI
1 - 5
ESC
7%
12%
81%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
RSZ
4 - 2
ESC
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ESC
3 - 1
UZU
83%
12%
6%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
FCT
1 - 1
ESC
20%
22%
58%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |