Badalona vs Castelldefels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
16%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
10º
15º
12º
44
5º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
98.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
51.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
62.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Badalona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SCR
2 - 0
BAD
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BAD
2 - 2
SAN
71%
20%
9%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
RAP
1 - 3
BAD
12%
23%
65%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BAD
0 - 2
PER
67%
22%
11%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAF
1 - 0
BAD
20%
27%
53%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Castelldefels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
VIL
43%
25%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SCR
2 - 0
CAS
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
GIR
19%
24%
57%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +3 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAS
39%
25%
35%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
EUR
15%
24%
62%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |