Bærum vs Moss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 2
FOL
69%
17%
14%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SKE
5 - 3
BAR
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 1
RAU
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
HAM
2 - 0
BAR
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
KJE
61%
20%
19%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
MOS
0 - 2
FKA
54%
22%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
KFU
3 - 0
MOS
31%
23%
46%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
S08
3 - 0
MOS
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
HOL
0 - 6
MOS
5%
12%
83%
|
50 | 17 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MOS
1 - 0
KRA
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |