Azerbaijan vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
SWE
5 - 0
AZE
80%
15%
5%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
AUT
4 - 1
AZE
80%
14%
7%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MKD
1 - 3
AZE
71%
18%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
MDA
1 - 2
AZE
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AZE
3 - 0
KAZ
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
AUT
2 - 1
EST
81%
14%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
HUN
1 - 0
EST
75%
17%
9%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
FIN
0 - 1
EST
68%
21%
12%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ISL
1 - 1
EST
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
SMR
0 - 4
EST
6%
17%
76%
|
64 | 16 | 48 | 0 |