AZ Alkmaar vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
AZA
2 - 2
PAR
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
UTR
0 - 3
AZA
26%
23%
51%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
AZA
3 - 0
FCE
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2019 |
AST
0 - 5
AZA
37%
24%
39%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
AZA
3 - 0
TWE
69%
19%
13%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
VVV
2 - 1
TWE
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
HER
6 - 1
VVV
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
VVV
0 - 3
FEY
14%
20%
67%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
GRO
2 - 2
VVV
10%
16%
74%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 1
VVV
41%
25%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |