Jong AZ vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
VOL
2 - 1
ALK
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
JON
2 - 1
ALK
76%
16%
9%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 0
ALK
47%
25%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
ALK
2 - 0
VVV
28%
23%
49%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
FCD
2 - 0
ALK
25%
23%
52%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
BOS
68%
21%
12%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
PSV
4 - 0
NAC
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 2
RJC
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
FCE
2 - 0
NAC
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 1
ZWO
48%
25%
28%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |