Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
9º
7º
45
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
AYR
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
AYR
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
AYR
5 - 0
ARB
64%
22%
15%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
AYR
1 - 1
GRE
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 1
AYR
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 1
ICT
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 0
QUE
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
AIR
2 - 1
DUN
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 1
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 3
DUN
23%
27%
50%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |