Avranches U19 vs Lorient U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
21%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+78%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
8º
3º
30
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
AVR
0 - 3
NAN
17%
20%
64%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
NIO
1 - 2
AVR
49%
23%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
AVR
5 - 0
LVF
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
REN
0 - 1
AVR
71%
17%
13%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AVR
2 - 2
BOR
30%
25%
46%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 2
ANG
20%
20%
59%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 2
GUI
29%
22%
49%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
NAN
4 - 0
LOR
82%
11%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 1
SAM
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
NIO
3 - 1
LOR
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |