Avaí vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CUI
2 - 1
AVA
48%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 1
AVA
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 0
CON
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
AVA
2 - 1
PAR
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
NAU
2 - 2
AVA
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
OES
1 - 1
AMF
13%
28%
58%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
PPE
1 - 0
OES
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
OES
2 - 1
BRA
27%
29%
44%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
OES
1 - 2
CRB
22%
28%
50%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
OES
73%
20%
7%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |