Avaí vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
24.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
AVA
0 - 1
GUA
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
AVA
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
AVA
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 0
REM
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 1
BRA
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 0
NAU
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NAU
0 - 4
CON
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
COT
3 - 1
NAU
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
BRU
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
BRA
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |