Avaí vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
12.8%
4.3%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
INT
2 - 3
AVA
5%
16%
79%
|
75 | 35 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 2
CHA
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
AVA
21%
25%
54%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 2
NES
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 37 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 0
ITU
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
CRI
9%
21%
70%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAR
45%
26%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
INT
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
JEC
2 - 3
MAR
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |