Catarinense 1 Quarter-finals
Global 0-0
Avaí vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 2
CRI
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
JEC
3 - 0
AVA
12%
21%
67%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
RFC
3 - 2
AVA
16%
21%
63%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AVA
1 - 0
CAC
79%
15%
6%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 2
AVA
6%
15%
79%
|
72 | 27 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
COT
1 - 1
CRI
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 2
CRI
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
CRI
2 - 0
CAC
78%
16%
7%
|
69 | 26 | 43 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
RDA
0 - 3
CRI
8%
20%
72%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CRI
1 - 0
FFL
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |