Avaí vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
AVA
11%
21%
68%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 1
SAM
53%
27%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 2
AVA
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
4 - 0
AVA
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 1
CSA
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
BAR
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
FLU
3 - 0
CHA
74%
18%
8%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
SPO
40%
30%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
ATL
25%
28%
47%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
AMF
3 - 0
CHA
59%
25%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |