Avaí vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CRB
3 - 1
AVA
50%
26%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 0
FFL
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CRZ
0 - 1
AVA
69%
21%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
AVA
2 - 5
SAM
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
CON
2 - 2
AVA
31%
28%
40%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 1
CHA
18%
29%
53%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
BRA
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAR
30%
30%
40%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 1
BRA
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
BRA
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |