Avaí vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
AVA
3 - 0
JEC
73%
18%
8%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 0
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MET
0 - 3
AVA
8%
16%
76%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 0
BRU
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
RDA
1 - 4
AVA
2%
8%
90%
|
72 | 33 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
ECS
1 - 3
BRA
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 0
GRE
16%
26%
58%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
TUB
0 - 0
BRA
22%
24%
54%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 3
AIM
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
SCI
1 - 0
BRA
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |