Austin FC vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austin FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
AUS
0 - 1
COR
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
AUS
0 - 1
SES
36%
24%
40%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
AUS
1 - 3
TIG
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
AUS
0 - 2
LAN
32%
24%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
AUS
4 - 1
POR
36%
24%
40%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
HOD
0 - 0
RSL
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
SJE
1 - 1
HOD
45%
25%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
VAN
0 - 0
HOD
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
SES
2 - 0
HOD
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
HOD
1 - 1
CIN
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |