Audax Rio vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
AUD
75%
18%
7%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 0
AUD
64%
22%
14%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 1
DEM
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SER
1 - 0
AUD
68%
21%
12%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 4
SAM
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
DUQ
1 - 0
SFC
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 0
DUQ
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
DUQ
2 - 0
GOY
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GOY
0 - 1
DUQ
31%
27%
42%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
PER
2 - 3
DUQ
41%
27%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |