Atlético Villacarlos vs CF Norteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Villacarlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PCE
0 - 0
ATL
38%
22%
41%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
UDM
35%
21%
44%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SLL
0 - 1
ATL
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
FRR
26%
21%
53%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MNC
4 - 3
ATL
62%
19%
20%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CF Norteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NTÑ
1 - 4
UDM
10%
14%
77%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SLL
2 - 1
NTÑ
44%
22%
34%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NTÑ
0 - 5
FRR
12%
17%
72%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MNC
3 - 0
NTÑ
83%
11%
6%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
NTÑ
2 - 3
SDM
15%
18%
68%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |