Atl. Tucumán vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
ATT
39%
27%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ATT
0 - 0
LAN
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
GRE
4 - 0
ATT
63%
21%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SMA
1 - 3
ATT
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
ATT
0 - 2
GRE
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
IND
3 - 1
HUR
50%
27%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 2
IND
21%
27%
52%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
RIV
3 - 1
IND
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
IND
0 - 0
TIG
63%
23%
14%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 1
IND
31%
28%
42%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |