Atl. Tucumán vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
CCS
0 - 0
ATT
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
RIE
1 - 0
ATT
26%
29%
45%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
ATT
0 - 0
RIV
22%
24%
54%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
ATT
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
ATT
0 - 0
ARG
43%
28%
29%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 2
TIG
54%
25%
22%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 1
SLP
81%
14%
5%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 0
HUR
51%
26%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
RIE
1 - 2
VEL
25%
28%
47%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
3 - 1
GLP
53%
26%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |