Atl. Santa Cruz vs Fuente Alamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-97%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 2
RAA
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MIN
2 - 1
ASC
59%
21%
21%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 3
MAZ
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CHU
2 - 1
ASC
53%
22%
26%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 1
CDL
82%
12%
7%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fuente Alamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 3
MIN
30%
23%
48%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MAZ
5 - 1
PAL
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 2
CHU
35%
24%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 0
PAL
46%
24%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAL
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |