Atletico Rafaela vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2022 |
MAI
0 - 0
RAF
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 1
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 1
RAF
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
RAF
4 - 0
ALV
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
RAF
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 0
GBR
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 0
SMA
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
QUI
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 1
BRO
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 0
QUI
27%
30%
44%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |