Atletico Rafaela vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
ALD
2 - 1
RAF
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
RAF
0 - 0
TIG
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 1
RAF
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
RAF
3 - 1
PAT
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 1
RAF
67%
22%
12%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
ARG
1 - 1
LAN
17%
25%
58%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CAU
4 - 0
ARG
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ARG
1 - 0
BOC
21%
28%
52%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 0
ARG
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
RAC
2 - 2
ARG
74%
18%
8%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |