Athletico Paranaense vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
ATP
5 - 0
AFC
90%
8%
2%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
IND
2 - 3
ATP
7%
17%
76%
|
85 | 43 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
ATP
3 - 1
FOZ
85%
12%
3%
|
85 | 37 | 48 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ATP
1 - 0
GRE
83%
13%
4%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
ASB
1 - 2
ATP
6%
16%
78%
|
85 | 24 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
COT
3 - 1
CIA
78%
16%
6%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
COT
2 - 2
AFC
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 1
COT
7%
17%
76%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
COT
1 - 0
RIO
86%
11%
3%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
FOZ
0 - 3
COT
4%
12%
83%
|
77 | 37 | 40 | 0 |