Athletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
ATP
3 - 0
NOB
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ATP
2 - 0
COT
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
ATP
2 - 1
SAO
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
COT
1 - 0
ATP
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
ATP
1 - 0
LON
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 2
FFL
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
AVA
2 - 2
CHA
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
3 - 2
FFL
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BRU
2 - 2
CHA
11%
22%
67%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
HER
84%
13%
3%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |