Athletico Paranaense vs CA Tubarão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
5.7%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ATP
0 - 0
RIO
83%
13%
4%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
ATP
0 - 0
FOZ
85%
12%
3%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
ATP
13%
24%
64%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
COT
0 - 1
ATP
44%
29%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
CAX
0 - 0
ATP
19%
26%
55%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
JEC
1 - 1
TUB
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
TUB
3 - 1
INT
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
AVA
1 - 1
TUB
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
TUB
81%
14%
5%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
TUB
0 - 0
BRU
40%
25%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |