Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 3-3
Athletico Paranaense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
ATP
3 - 2
COT
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
SCI
0 - 2
ATP
54%
23%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ATP
2 - 1
FLA
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 2
ATP
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 1
ATP
62%
22%
17%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
GOI
2 - 1
BOT
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
BOT
3 - 0
COR
43%
27%
29%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 0
ATM
27%
27%
47%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 0
LIG
51%
24%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 3
BOT
72%
18%
11%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |