Atlético Ottawa vs Valour analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
4º
2º
24
6º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 51 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 46 |
2º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 45 |
3º
|
55% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 40 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 33 |
5º
|
65% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 31 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 29 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 27 |
8º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
67% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
25.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
7.5% | 11% |
|
Eliminated
|
0% | 89% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Ottawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
ATO
7 - 0
VAL
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HFX
1 - 3
ATO
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ATO
1 - 1
CAV
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ATO
2 - 1
YOR
53%
24%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 1
ATO
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
ATO
7 - 0
VAL
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
VAL
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 0
VAL
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
VAN
4 - 1
VAL
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 18 | 44 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
HFX
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |