Copa Libertadores Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 4-5
At. Nacional vs Racing Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
JAG
65%
22%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
AME
1 - 3
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
ONC
1 - 1
NAC
25%
27%
48%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 0
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 1
PAT
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 1
RAC
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
RAC
3 - 1
CCS
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
RAC
2 - 1
SMA
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 1
CEN
53%
25%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
EST
0 - 0
RAC
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |