At. Nacional vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 3
TOL
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 1
PER
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 0
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 3
NAC
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
PER
2 - 0
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
EQU
2 - 1
MIL
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CUC
1 - 1
MIL
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 0
CUC
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
MIL
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 1
CHI
57%
25%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |