At. Nacional vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
PER
1 - 0
NAC
25%
26%
48%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 3
MIL
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
NAC
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
NAC
5 - 0
PER
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 0
BUC
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 1
JUN
25%
27%
48%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2021 |
JUN
1 - 0
EQU
56%
25%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SFE
1 - 1
JUN
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
JUN
2 - 1
PAS
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
JUN
0 - 0
QUI
68%
21%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |