At. Nacional vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
SFE
2 - 1
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 3
NAC
17%
24%
59%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 2
NAC
17%
23%
60%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
AGU
70%
18%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 0
PAT
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
EQU
0 - 0
TOL
38%
29%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
EQU
1 - 0
JAG
55%
26%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
LLA
0 - 0
EQU
17%
24%
59%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ENV
3 - 2
EQU
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
EQU
1 - 0
LLA
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |