At. Nacional vs Deportivo Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
28%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
IND
1 - 1
NAC
48%
27%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
PEÑ
0 - 4
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -6 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 0
PEÑ
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +5 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 0
CHI
71%
19%
11%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 0
SPC
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 2
COR
64%
22%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 2
RAC
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 1
CAL
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
ONC
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
BOL
5 - 0
CAL
36%
23%
41%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |