At. Nacional vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 1
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
CAL
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
IND
1 - 1
NAC
48%
27%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
PEÑ
0 - 4
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -6 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 0
PEÑ
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +5 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 6
BUC
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
CUC
1 - 1
BUC
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BUC
0 - 0
FOR
50%
28%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
BUC
0 - 1
CUC
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 2
BUC
58%
23%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |