Atl. Mineiro vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 2
ATM
13%
23%
65%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ATM
0 - 2
CRZ
65%
21%
14%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ATM
4 - 0
DEM
85%
11%
3%
|
90 | 53 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 1
ATM
8%
22%
71%
|
90 | 53 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
BAH
4 - 1
ATM
35%
28%
38%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
DEM
2 - 2
TOM
16%
23%
61%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 0
ATH
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
POA
1 - 2
TOM
13%
19%
68%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
TOM
2 - 2
UBE
83%
13%
4%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 1
MIR
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |