Atlético Mineiro Sub 20 vs Grêmio Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Mineiro Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
AME
3 - 4
ATM
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
ATM
3 - 3
CUI
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 1
GOI
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 2
ATM
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ATM
0 - 1
SFC
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 7 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
GRE
16%
17%
67%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 1
AME
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAO
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 2
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
5 - 3
GRE
52%
21%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |