At. Malagueño vs San Fernando CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 2
MAL
33%
25%
43%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
MAL
3 - 1
MAL
86%
12%
2%
|
41 | 82 | 41 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
JUV
0 - 0
MAL
24%
22%
54%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
ALC
4 - 2
MAL
77%
18%
6%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
ALH
1 - 3
MAL
17%
21%
61%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
San Fernando CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
XER
0 - 0
SAN
19%
23%
57%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
ALG
0 - 2
SAN
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
ECI
0 - 0
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SEV
1 - 1
SAN
20%
24%
57%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
SAN
14%
21%
65%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |