Atlético vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2012 |
OSA
0 - 1
ATM
30%
25%
45%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
RSO
0 - 4
ATM
23%
24%
53%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 0
VIL
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MAL
0 - 0
ATM
35%
24%
41%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
ATM
0 - 1
ALB
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
VCF
1 - 1
FCB
19%
22%
59%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RAC
2 - 2
VCF
23%
27%
50%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
LEV
0 - 3
VCF
28%
26%
45%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
OSA
1 - 1
VCF
28%
27%
45%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
VCF
4 - 1
LEV
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |