Atlético vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1999 |
VCF
3 - 0
ATM
56%
21%
23%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1999 |
CEL
0 - 1
ATM
51%
23%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1999 |
DEP
0 - 1
ATM
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1999 |
ATM
3 - 1
RMA
43%
24%
34%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1999 |
ATM
0 - 0
DEP
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1999 |
RAY
2 - 0
EXT
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1999 |
EXT
0 - 2
RAY
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1999 |
RAY
1 - 1
CDB
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
LEG
0 - 2
RAY
34%
28%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
RAY
1 - 0
MER
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |