Atlético vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1971 |
ATM
1 - 0
AJA
59%
21%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1971 |
MAL
0 - 0
ATM
28%
30%
43%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
ATM
2 - 0
SPO
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
RSO
0 - 1
ATM
35%
29%
36%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1971 |
WAR
2 - 1
ATM
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1971 |
FCB
2 - 0
UDL
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
FCB
1 - 0
MAL
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
SPO
0 - 2
FCB
39%
28%
34%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
FCB
4 - 0
RSO
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
GRA
0 - 2
FCB
28%
31%
41%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |