Atlético vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
ATM
2 - 0
BVB
35%
26%
39%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
LEG
1 - 1
ATM
17%
25%
59%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
UES
0 - 1
ATM
7%
21%
72%
|
90 | 43 | 47 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ATM
2 - 0
RSO
54%
25%
21%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
BVB
4 - 0
ATM
50%
25%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 0
ATH
42%
27%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ATH
0 - 0
VCF
40%
26%
33%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
RAY
1 - 1
ATH
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
EIB
1 - 1
ATH
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
ATH
1 - 3
RSO
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |