Atlético de Lugones vs Real Sporting C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
54.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AST
0 - 0
ATL
47%
24%
30%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 1
MUR
25%
23%
52%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 2
VAL
39%
25%
36%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 5
NAV
30%
24%
47%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
COM
1 - 2
ATL
67%
18%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sporting C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
REA
0 - 0
VAL
73%
16%
12%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NAV
0 - 2
REA
32%
24%
44%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
REA
4 - 0
COM
55%
21%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
REA
29%
23%
48%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AND
2 - 1
REA
26%
24%
51%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |