Atlético de Lugones vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.2%
Win probability
0.26
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.3%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
0.6%
3-2
0.1%
+1
2.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
<0%
0
14%
82.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
18.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
20.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24.9%
0-3
15.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 1
ATL
37%
25%
38%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
MOS
37%
26%
37%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VCD
2 - 0
ATL
24%
24%
52%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 2
ATL
68%
19%
14%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
REA
5 - 0
ATL
24%
22%
54%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RAY
2 - 2
RSO
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UDL
0 - 1
RAY
34%
27%
38%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SEV
2 - 2
RAY
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
RAY
2 - 2
MLL
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CAD
0 - 0
RAY
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |